Diwali celebrations are likely to take place under mostly dry and pleasant weather conditions across northern and central India, while several southern and northeastern states may experience heavy rainfall. According to the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecast mentioned in the report, the Northeast Monsoon is expected to remain active, bringing thunderstorms, strong winds and heavy showers to parts of southern India. Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka are among the states likely to witness unsettled weather. Wind speeds in some affected areas may reach 30–50 kmph, with yellow and orange alerts issued for certain regions. In contrast, Delhi-NCR, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh are expected to experience largely dry conditions, with relatively warmer afternoons and a slight chill during mornings and evenings.

Heavy Rain and Thunderstorm Alert in Southern States
Southern India is likely to experience the most significant weather activity during the festive period. Kerala and Mahe may receive moderate to heavy rainfall accompanied by lightning and thunderstorms. Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam and Rayalaseema are also expected to witness heavy showers and strong winds. In Karnataka, districts across the southern interior and coastal regions may experience intense rainfall and thunderstorms. These conditions could affect outdoor celebrations and travel plans in some areas.

Rain Expected in Northeast and Eastern States
Several northeastern states may also witness increased rainfall activity during Diwali week. Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura could receive showers, with isolated heavy rainfall expected in some areas between November 9 and 11. In eastern India, Odisha may experience light to moderate rain along with lightning, while parts of West Bengal and Jharkhand could receive showers later in the week. The Andaman and Nicobar Islands are also likely to see widespread rainfall between November 8 and 11.
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North and Central India to Remain Mostly Dry
Delhi-NCR, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and other parts of western and central India are expected to remain largely dry, with no significant rainfall forecast during the period. Maharashtra is also unlikely to witness major rain activity. Pune, Kolhapur and Satara may experience temperatures above 31°C, while parts of Marathwada and Vidarbha could see mercury levels cross 33°C. However, residents of Uttarakhand may experience isolated showers on November 8 and 9, while Himachal Pradesh is likely to receive some rainfall on November 10 and 11.